Macro Early Warning: AI bubble, oil, debt, and social stress

Macro Early Warning (EWS) is a free, live dashboard that tracks how geopolitical and market shocks move through oil, interest rates, labor, and what markets already price in. Four themes sit on one board: the AI bubble and Mag7/NVDA stretch, Hormuz and Brent oil risk, US debt and the Treasury curve, and housing, unemployment, and the Sahm rule. Scores run from 0 to 100. This is informational early warning, not a forecast and not investment advice.

Latest stored layer scores as of 2026-11-10: Physical 33, Transmission 34, Amplification 15, Pricing 17 out of 100.

What does the Macro Early Warning dashboard show?

A live system board with four stress layers, scenario rule checks, channel heatmaps, and theme tabs for Hormuz oil, US rates and debt, AI equity stretch, and household or labor stress. Scores are 0–100 from public data sources.

Is Macro Early Warning free?

Yes. The board is free to use and informational only — not investment advice or a trading signal service.

Also on this dashboard: Macro Early Warning · Iran and Hormuz oil risk · US rates, Treasuries, and debt stress · AI bubble and equity stretch · Social stress, jobs, and housing · Dividend and DCF equity screen · Data health and source freshness · Privacy Policy

Informational only — not investment advice.